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17 August 2026Middle-Income Cambodia – Trap or Opportunity: Dynamising Productive Firms (the Reallocation Effect) PART III
កម្ពុជាក្នុងឋានៈជាប្រទេសមានប្រាក់ចំណូលមធ្យម – អន្ទាក់ ឬកាលានុវត្តភាព៖ ការជំរុញថាមវន្តនៃក្រុមហ៊ុនដែលមានផលិតភាពខ្ពស់ (ផលនៃការបែងចែកធនធានឡើងវិញ) ភាគ ៣
សារគន្លឹះ
- អត្ថបទប្លុកនេះគឺជាអត្ថបទភាគ ៣ នៃកម្រងអត្ថបទប្លុកដែលមាន
៣ ភាគ ដែលសិក្សាឈ្វេងយល់ក្នុងកម្រិតក្រុមហ៊ុន អំពីអ្វីដែលកម្ពុជាត្រូវការ
ដើម្បីផ្លាស់ប្តូរទៅរកយុទ្ធសាស្ត្រកំណើនដែលផ្អែកលើផលិតភាព។
- អត្ថបទប្លុកនេះពិនិត្យមើលស្ថានភាពដ៏ស្មុគស្មាញ និងគួរឱ្យងឿងឆ្ងល់
នៅពេលដែលក្រុមហ៊ុនដែលមានផលិតភាព មានកម្មករល្អ អ្នកគ្រប់គ្រងល្អ និងផលិតផលល្អ
ប៉ុន្តែបែរជាបរាជ័យក្នុងការពង្រីកអាជីវកម្មរបស់ខ្លួន។
- ការប្រកួតប្រជែងផ្តល់នូវយន្តការទីផ្សារដ៏សំខាន់មួយ
ក្នុងការអនុញ្ញាតឱ្យក្រុមហ៊ុនដែលមានផលិតភាពខ្ពស់អាចពង្រីកខ្លួន ដោយជំនួសឱ្យក្រុមហ៊ុនដែលមានផលិតភាពទាប។
- ទោះបីជាកម្ពុជាមានសេដ្ឋកិច្ចដែលមានការប្រកួតប្រជែងក៏ដោយ
ក៏ចំណុចនេះមិនទាន់ទទួលបានការគាំទ្រគ្រប់គ្រាន់ ផ្នែកក្របខ័ណ្ឌនគោលយោបាយប្រកួតប្រជែងដែលមានដំណើរការល្អនៅឡើយទេ។
- ប្រព័ន្ធហិរញ្ញវត្ថុនៅកម្ពុជាមានដំណើរការល្អ និងមានបទពិសោធន៍ក្នុងការផ្តល់កម្ចីដល់ក្រុមហ៊ុនដែលមានផលិតភាព
និងសកម្មភាពប្រកបដោយថាមវន្ត។
- នៅកម្ពុជា មានភស្តុតាងតិចតួចប៉ុណ្ណោះដែលបង្ហាញថា ក្រុមហ៊ុននិងសហគ្រាសធំៗដែលមានបណ្ដាញទំនាក់ទំនងរឹងមាំ
អាចប្រើឥទ្ធិពលរបស់ខ្លួនលើគោលនយោបាយសេដ្ឋកិច្ច ដើម្បីរារាំងការរីកចម្រើនរបស់អាជីវកម្មបង្កើតថ្មី
និងអាជីវកម្មខ្នាតតូចដែលមានផលិតភាពខ្ពស់ជាង។
- ប៉ុន្តែមានភស្តុតាងយ៉ាងច្បាស់ថា អាជីវកម្មលក្ខណៈគ្រួសារ និងគ្រប់គ្រងដោយគ្រួសារ គឺមានការគ្រប់គ្រងមិនសូវបានល្អ ហើយការពង្រីកក្រុមហ៊ុនតែងតែជួបប្រទះនូវបញ្ហាប្រឈមនានា ទាំងនៅកម្ពុជា និងនៅតាមបណ្តាប្រទេសផ្សេងទៀត។
Key Messages
- This blog is the third in a three-part series that explores, at the firm level, what is needed for Cambodia to shift towards a productivity-led growth strategy.
- This blog looks at the puzzling situation when a productive firm with good workers, good managers, and a good product fails to expand.
- Competition provides a crucial market-based discipline in allowing productive firms to expand at the expense of less productive firms.
- Although Cambodia has a competitive economy, this is not properly supported by a well-functioning competition policy framework.
- The financial system in Cambodia functions well and is adept at providing loans to productive and dynamic firms.
- We need more research to better understand if politically well-connected incumbent firms in Cambodia influence economic policy to prevent the growth of newer, smaller, and more productive firms.
- There is clear evidence that family-owned and -operated businesses are less well managed and experience constraints on growth in Cambodia and beyond.
Introduction
Productivity is defined as “the
efficiency with which societies combine their people, resources, and tools.”
Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman
famously argued, “Productivity isn't everything, but, in the long run,
it is almost everything.” Higher productivity can benefit firms
(higher profits), workers (higher wages), consumers (lower costs of goods and
services), and governments (higher tax revenue). Very few countries have
graduated into high-income status over the last 150 years, which is a
productivity problem. Estimates show that
around half of the income differences between the richest and poorest countries
is due to productivity. In the first blog in this series, we noted that
Cambodia has successfully mobilised resources for development—moving workers
from fields and households to the factory, providing the young with basic
literacy, and boosting savings and investment to very high levels. The strategy
that helped drive Cambodia from low- to middle-income status is running out of
steam. This blog is the third in a three-part series that explores, at the firm
level, what is needed for Cambodia to shift towards a growth strategy based on
productivity.
To think about the policy implications for
a productivity-led growth strategy, we need to start with the research on what
drives productivity. The most obvious starting point is to identify those
constraints that prevent new and dynamic domestic and foreign firms from establishing
a presence in the Cambodian economy. Hence, research has
focused on the speed and cost of registering a new business
in Cambodia (an example of the selection effect) or has asked whether there are
enough skilled
workers to utilise new technology or skilled managers to closely
monitor and improve productivity inside firms (the within-firm effect). Some research has
stepped back to ask if the wider society promotes
entrepreneurship, whether entrepreneurs are rewarded relative to other
professions (in the public sector, for example), and whether people have the
personal traits of drive, grit, and risk to be entrepreneurs. This blog looks
at the puzzling situation when a productive firm with good workers, good
managers, and a good product fails to expand. This blog reviews the third driver
of firm-level productivity—the reallocation effect, discusses what we know for
the Cambodian case, and derives some policy conclusions.
Productivity
in Cambodia: Disappointing but there are Productive Firms
As part of the Cambodia 2030 research, CDRI calculated that
since 2001, Cambodia’s economic growth
has been driven primarily by public and private investment rather than by gains
in productivity. In the December 2024 Economic Update
for Cambodia, the World Bank (using a survey of 519
firms) noted that, “labor productivity among all Cambodian firms” is “significantly
lower than firms in peer countries overall (41 percent lower) as well as across
both the manufacturing and service sector.”
The World Bank Enterprise Survey 2023
shows that the most productive 10 percent of firms in Cambodia are thirteen
times more productive than the bottom 10 percent of firms. In services, the
ratio is eighteen-fold. These ‘frontier firms’ are overwhelmingly small (91
percent) and domestically owned (96 percent)—these are the firms that should be
expanding and driving productivity growth in Cambodia.
The
Reallocation Effect in Cambodia
Research conducted as part of the World Bank 2024
Middle Income Trap project shows that in middle-income
countries, a small number of companies tend to dominate the market, turnover
among market leaders is low, and entrants fail to grow or exit, most remaining as
micro enterprises with less than five employees. In India, Mexico, and Peru, if
a firm operates for forty years, it will roughly double in size. In the US, by
comparison, the average young firm grows by a factor of 7 by age 40 as startups
expand or exit.
These growth patterns have left huge
unrealised gains from reallocating resources from less to more efficient firms.
One influential 2009 study by
Pete Klenow and Chang-Tai Hsieh showed that total factor productivity (TFP),
the combined productivity of all factors of production (land, labour, and
machinery), could increase by up to 60 percent in India by reallocating
resources from less to more productive firms. Research from the World Bank in 2018 showed
that these gains could reach between 50 and 100 percent in Ethiopia, Ghana,
Turkey, Malaysia, and the Philippines, and up to 160 percent in Kenya. We have
already noted that there is a significant dispersion of labour productivity in
Cambodian firms, which differs by a factor of 13 from the top and bottom ten
percent of firms.
a) Competition
In an open and competitive economy, banks
seeking to maximise return on loans will lend to the most productive and
profitable firms; the best workers and managers will prefer to work for dynamic
and expanding firms paying higher wages; the most productive firms able to use
resources efficiently will pay more for land, labour, and capital—so bid them
away from less productive firms. In reality, regulations may favour incumbents
by restricting market entry or limiting the number of market participants.
Incumbents may takeover small innovative firms to kill competing firms and
technologies. The fourth blog in this series showed how insolvency laws in
Cambodia make it difficult for firms to exit, meaning that inefficient
incumbents hold onto market shares that should be available to more dynamic and
productive firms. Trade openness both subjects a market to more competition and
enables firms to grow by improving access to larger markets, international
value chains, technology and know-how.
Evidence shows that Cambodia does need to
improve the functioning of competition. The 2025 World Bank
B-Ready report defines competition as “good practices
related to the enforcement of competition policy, intellectual property rights
and innovation policy, and regulations that focus on improving competition and
innovation in markets where the government is a purchaser of services or goods
across the three different pillars.” Table 1 shows that Cambodia performs
poorly in competition policy, relative to a maximum and when compared to
regional comparators, Vietnam and Malaysia.
Table 1: Market Competition in Cambodia
| Max Score | Malaysia | Vietnam | Cambodia | |
| Pillar 1: Quality of Regulations that Promote Market Competition | 100 | 49.29 | 57.91 | 43.14 |
| Pillar 2: Public Services that Promote Market Competition | 100 | 61.2 | 37.01 | 32.13 |
| Pillar 3: Implementation of Key Services Promoting Market Competition | 100 | 53.4 | 47.92 | 41.07 |
Source: World Bank 2025
Despite the lack of policy support,
competition in Cambodia is still functioning. According to the 2023 World Bank Enterprise Survey, only
0.3 percent of Cambodian firms reported fewer than two competitors in their
main product's main market (excluding firms whose main market is international),
and 83.5 percent reported more than five competitors. 80.4 percent of Cambodian
firms reported that they could not increase prices more than competitors
without losing customers, compared to 73 percent in low-income, 74.8 percent in
lower middle-income, and 73.8 percent in upper middle-income countries
respectively. As one specific measure of competition, it was easier in Cambodia
to switch internet providers (100 the easiest), showing that it was easier in
Cambodia (86.5) than in low-income (69.5), lower middle-income (70), and upper
middle-income countries (73) respectively. The weakness of the domestic
competition policy environment is offset by openness. The trade ratio is
measured as the total of imports and exports as a share of GDP and was much
higher in Cambodia (2024) (143 percent) than the average of either low-income
(56 percent), middle-income (55 percent) or upper middle-income (47 percent)
countries. Without proactive policy
support, there are some worrying signs that competition in Cambodia will
decline over time. A competition index (100 being a significant increase) over
last year showed that competition increased by less in Cambodia (67.3) than in either
low-income (83.5), lower middle-income (78.6), or upper middle-income (75.3)
countries respectively.
b)
Access to Credit
The lack of credit may prevent newer or
smaller firms from borrowing to invest and expand. There is no clear evidence
that significant numbers of firms in Cambodia are credit constrained. The share
of firms in Cambodia that were fully or partially credit constrained fell from 16.4
and 15.8 percent in 2016 to 4.1 and 10.4 percent in 2023 respectively. In 2023,
zero percent of firms in Cambodia reported access to finance as their biggest
obstacle, compared to 30.3 percent in low-income, 20.7 percent in lower
middle-income, and 16.3 percent in upper middle-income countries
respectively. A 2025 survey by the
Asia Foundation of more than 2,700 firms in Cambodia
found that even informal firms could access bank loans and that the
overwhelming reason for not having bank loans was the lack of need. This is
confirmed in Table 2 by the 2025 World Bank
B-Ready survey, which showed that the quality of financial
regulations, accessibility of financial information, and actual functioning of
financial services was both commendably high in Cambodia and even better than
in regional comparators, Malaysia and Vietnam.
Table 2: Financial Services in Cambodia
| Max Score | Malaysia | Vietnam | Cambodia | |
| Pillar 1: Quality of Regulations for Financial Services | 100 | 79.16 | 75.4 | 80.74 |
| Pillar 2: Accessibility of Information in Credit Infrastructure | 100 | 72.83 | 85.33 | 87.33 |
| Pillar 3: Operational Efficiency of Receiving Financial Services | 100 | 69.23 | 80.23 | 85.28 |
Source: World Bank 2025
c) Incumbent
Advantage
Recent Nobel Prize winners in economics, Daren
Acemoglu and James Robinson, discussed in their influential book ‘Why Nations Fail’ how
politically influential incumbent firms can manipulate economic policy to their
own advantage. In the 2024 World Development Report, the
World Bank noted that many inefficient incumbent firms benefit from government
restrictions on the entry of new firms, subsidies, or access to bank credit
determined by political connections, meaning that young and dynamic firms are
unable to grow. A seminal study of
Pakistan showed that firms with influential politicians on
their boards received 45 percent larger loans and experienced 50 percent higher
default rates. This preferential treatment was driven by government banks, over
which those politicians had influence.
What limited research there is does not
suggest that incumbent advantage has a significant impact in Cambodia. Between
2007 and 2016, there was one cement plant in Cambodia; exports were met from
Thailand, where 3 cement firms produced 85 percent of local production. One study from 2016 found
no evidence that these dominant existing firms being able to deter the entry of
new producers. By 2025, the Cambodian media was
reporting that a Cambodia-Hong Kong joint venture had invested USD250 million
to become the sixth company to establish a cement factory in Cambodia. Another
local story is that of Brown Coffee, which
started with its first outlet in 2009 and by 2025 had grown to around 40
locations, displacing global behemoth Starbucks. The World Bank Enterprise Survey for
2023 found that the leading constraint on doing business was ‘practices of the
informal sector,’ chosen by 41.7 percent of firms, not the practice of large
incumbent firms.
This limited evidence needs to be
supplemented with new research in Cambodia, which could learn from
sector-specific research in India. In India, research shows that
there is systematic incumbent advantage in those sectors that require government
permissions to undertake investment and business
activity. Such sectors include real estate, infrastructure, construction,
mining, telecom, cement, and media.
d) Firm-Ownership
and Management
The institution of the family firm may
offer some advantages, such as raising start-up or investment capital from
family members, being able to rely on family loyalty to motivate effort, and
relying on family inheritance to create a long-term orientation for managers. A
family business may also be constrained in growing because senior managers can
only be selected from among current family members. There may also be a
distinct problem at the death of the founder, as the new head may be limited to
the oldest son of the founder (regardless of talent) or else the firm becomes
subject to a debilitating battle for succession among surviving relatives. The
leading research team on
the economics of management, led by Nick Bloom, finds in a
global sample of firms that family firms, defined “as firms owned by the
descendants of the founder” that are also family-managed, “have a large tail of
badly managed firms.” There is some suggestive evidence in the Cambodian case. The
World Bank
Economic Update 2024 noted that firms managed by an
independent chief executive officer (CEO) are 20 percent more productive than
firms managed by their owner; by contrast, another study found
little impact from family business.
The policy implications are for governments
to avoid supporting family business structures and to subject them to the
discipline of the market. Many governments around the world also provide strong
tax subsidies for
family firms; for example, the United Kingdom has many more family-run and
-owned firms than the United States and Germany, which is related to the UK tax
exemption for inherited business assets. The recent trend across
Asia and Europe for private equity to purchase formerly family-owned and -operated
businesses has been associated with an improvement in management.
Conclusion
This blog looks at the puzzling situation
when a productive firm, with good workers, good managers, and a good product,
fails to expand. For the case of Cambodia, there are big differences in the
least and most-productive firms, indicating that a reallocation of investment,
labour, and land would boost overall productivity. Of the three-part series on
firm drivers of productivity, this blog was the most ambivalent, finding that
Cambodia was a competitive economy, showed few indications of credit constraint
or significant incumbent advantage, and some limited evidence that the
structure of family businesses may be a productivity drag. More research is
clearly needed.
Look out
for our sixth blog, Middle-Income Cambodia – Trap or Opportunity: Firm-Level
Formalisation and Productivity.
Authors:
Prof Dr Matthew McCartney,
Chief Economist, CDRI
Dr Khath Bunthorn, Publication
Manager and Research Associate, CDRI’s Centre for Governance and Public
Innovation